While California's two megaports in San Pedro Bay have reported record inbound container throughput this fall, the state's third largest ocean cargo gateway has been no slouch, either.
The Port of Oakland had its busiest November ever for imports in 2018, shattering an 11-year-old record. The port handled the equivalent of 83,364 loaded 20-foot import containers last month. Photo courtesy of Port of Oakland
BY PATRICK BURNSON
Published: January, 2019
While California’s two megaports in San Pedro Bay have reported record inbound container throughput this fall, the state’s third largest ocean cargo gateway has been no slouch, either.
Indeed, the Port of Oakland had its busiest November ever for imports in 2018, shattering an 11-year-old record. Dockside labor handled the equivalent of 83,364 loaded 20-foot import containers last month. That beat the old November record of 76,902 containers set in 2007. November imports were up 15 percent over the same period in 2017.
As with Los Angeles/Long Beach, the increase in cargo volume was attributed to continued strong U.S. consumer spending. Spokespeople also noted that importers are rushing cargo into the U.S. in case new tariffs are imposed next year in the ongoing trade war with China.
“We’re encouraged by our latest cargo statistics,” said Port of Oakland Maritime Director John Driscoll. “At the same time, we remain cautious as we approach the new year with uncertainty.”
Total volume—imports, exports and empty containers—was up five percent in the first 11 months of 2018. If the trend continues, Oakland would set a new cargo volume record for the third straight year.
Another happy story for Oakland is that it is winning the battle against global trade headwinds, with scrap paper shipments jumping up three percent in the first 10 months of 2018. The increase in Oakland’s recyclable paper shipments contrasts with a generally challenging environment for U.S. exports. That’s important because waste paper is the largest export commodity, measured by container volume, shipped from Oakland.
“We can’t be certain if this trend will last, but the figures seem to show that there’s no loss of demand globally,” said Driscoll. “It appears that shippers are finding new markets for their scrap paper products.”
The port shipped the equivalent of 110,400 20-foot containers of wastepaper in 2018 through October. That accounted for nearly 18 percent of Oakland’s total export volume. Port data shows that nearly all the recyclable paper went to Asia. The product is used primarily to make packaging for billions of dollars of Asian goods exported to the United States.
Scrap paper shipments have increased this year despite trade pressures that include: (1) a rising U.S. dollar making American products more expensive overseas; (2) the U.S.-China tariff standoff; and (3) China’s new, tougher quality standards for foreign scrap products.
China, Oakland’s No. 1 trade partner, has reduced scrap paper shipments from the port by 37 percent this year, but neighboring Asian countries have picked up the slack. Oakland scrap exports to Taiwan are up 522 percent in 2018, while shipments to Vietnam are up 344 percent.
Scrap metal exports have increased 10 percent in 2018. Although shipments of the commodity to China have slumped 43 percent, that loss has been largely offset by increased shipments to Taiwan, Vietnam and India.
Driscoll will be briefing Bay Area shippers in Oakland’s annual “State of the Port” address this month in Jack London Square. According to Port of Oakland Communications Director Mike Zampa, the talk will largely focus on how the port will implement the five-year strategic plan announced last year.
“The plan will position us for even more growth,” said Zampa, “and logistics managers are eager to learn the details.”
Continued Uncertainty in U.S.-China Trade
“U.S. relations with China worsened significantly in 2018 as President Donald Trump took a hardline approach to reducing the bilateral trade deficit with China,” observed analysts for the consultancy A.T. Kearney.
They also note that over “vocal opposition” from the Bay Area business community, the Trump administration imposed tariffs on $250 billion of Chinese imports after negotiations failed.
Negotiations were in a standstill until last month, when Presidents Trump and Xi agreed to resume talks for the next two months. But analysts remain skeptical about the outcome.
“For the moment, U.S. multi-nationals are stuck in a kind of ‘purgatory,’” said one prominent analyst. “Their positions might have been far worse without the truce, but we don’t feel it’s going to get much better.”
Indeed, some analysts believe that insufficient progress on key issues will likely lead President Trump to raise tariff levels on Chinese imports, with the administration possibly even imposing tariffs on an additional $267 billion of Chinese goods—encompassing essentially the entire value of Chinese imports in 2017.
Bay Area shippers, meanwhile, are keeping a close watch on these developments.
Patrick Burnson is the executive editor of Logistics Management. www.logisticsmgmt.com
